Reality of Fantasy: Week 9 Primer and Streaming Options

It’s Waiver Wednesday for fantasy football, and this might be one of the most important weeks to hit the wire hard. Week 9 is the second of the two biggest bye weeks of the season. Hopefully you have all prepared your teams to deal with six teams on their byes. I’ve discussed streaming in previous articles and how important doing so will be once we entered this stage of the season. I’ll reiterate the main theme of those pieces of advice though.

Streaming is all about exploiting the best possible matchups for a given week. Plain and simple right? Typically the streaming positions are quarterback and defenses in any normal year, but with the massive amount of injuries at running back this is a year where streaming a running back can be done in the most desperate of cases.

For example, you might consider grabbing a guy like Tampa Bay running back Antone Smith in Thursday night’s game. He’ll only be relevant for a week or so, but could be worth it due to his big play ability and familiarity with the scheme (he played under Dirk Koetter in Atlanta two seasons ago). He’s in line for a larger role due to all of the injuries.

Before I delve into some more streaming options, let’s remember that New England, Chicago, Cincinnati, Washington, Houston, and Arizona are all on a bye this week.

Most of the fantasy relevant quarterbacks and defenses should be good to go this week. If you are in the market for a spot start at either position, here are some options that might be worth considering.

At quarterback this week, Ryan Tannehill is the top streaming option who can be picked up right away. He’s obviously a bit of a risk, which is why he isn’t likely on a roster to begin with. That being said he faces a Jets defense that is susceptible through the air, and with the recent success of Jay Ajayi running the ball the Jets could be keying on the running game. Tannehill has weapons at receiver who can be difficult to cover in man-to-man defense, and could break a big play. He is available in about 80% of ESPN fantasy leagues and certainly worth a look this week with a plus matchup against the 24th ranked fantasy defense for QB scoring.

A riskier play with a good matchup is Trevor Siemian. Personally, I would only go this route if Tannehill is picked up and I’m desperate for a QB. Oakland is the 25th ranked fantasy defense for QB scoring, but Siemian’s production is not ideal. Similarly, Sam Bradford has the best matchup of all fantasy QBs and has a higher floor than Siemian. However, the poor offensive line play and the resignation of offensive coordinator Norv Turner don’t inspire much confidence. Both should only be used in the most desperate of situations.

For fantasy defenses this week, all of the fantasy relevant defenses are in play so you should be okay there. However, I will caution all of you to avoid streaming the Dallas D/ST this week against Cleveland. The Cowboys just lost Maurice Claiborne and Barry Church to injury last week, which leaves this secondary vulnerable. Cleveland might be the worst team in football, but they can throw the ball a bit. The Browns will likely be playing from behind the entire day, and garbage time could be very unkind for this defense.

Now let’s take a look at the best and worst fantasy matchups for Week 9. There are a few interesting games from a fantasy perspective here this week.

Best Matchup: Green Bay (vs. Indianapolis)

I know that the Packers have been a bit frustrating this season, but I absolutely love this matchup for Green Bay. Indianapolis has a terrible defense, which is no secret by now. Randall Cobb and Ty Montgomery should be back in the lineup this week, and this offense will be all systems go come Sunday afternoon. The Colts just gave up 31 points to a Nick Foles-led Chiefs offense and I can only imagine what Aaron Rodgers will do to this defense.

Worst Matchup: Buffalo (vs. Seattle)

For the first time in a few weeks, I have to get away from my typical “just pick whoever plays against Denver or Minnesota” mentality this week. Which brings me to Buffalo having to travel to Seattle to play the Seahawks. Seattle might be the toughest place to play in the entire NFL and the Seahawks are coming off of an upset loss. I just don’t like Buffalo’s chances to have a good offensive day in this game.

Good Matchup: Atlanta (vs. Tampa Bay)

 While these Thursday night games are a crapshoot to predict, I absolutely love this matchup for the red-hot Falcons offense. Tampa Bay is coming off of an overtime game and is on a short week. Seattle and Arizona both looked terrible after a hard-fought overtime game on a regular week. Atlanta should be able to attack this defense at will all night long.

Tough Matchup: Detroit (vs. Minnesota)

Detroit has an offense that can put up points, but I just can’t imagine Minnesota’s defense having a second-straight letdown game. The Lions struggle to run the ball, which is where the Bears surprisingly found success against the Vikings. Add to the equation here that the game is in Minnesota and that is quickly becoming one of the tougher places to play in the NFL.

Other Good Matchups: New Orleans (vs. San Francisco), Dallas (vs. Cleveland), Tampa Bay (vs. Atlanta), Miami (vs. NY Jets), Pittsburgh (vs. Baltimore)

 Other Tough Matchups: Oakland (vs. Denver), Jacksonville (vs. Kansas City), St. Louis (vs. Carolina), Seattle (vs. Buffalo), San Diego (vs. Tennessee)

That’s it for me today folks, I’ll be back tomorrow with “No Huddle” to preview TNF and Week 9. Plus, I’ll wrap up the World Series and give my thoughts on what should be a terrific Game 7. Enjoy the game tonight! Follow me on Twitter @thereal_jmooney and go like the Shooting the Moon page on Facebook.

Heat Check: 3 Bold Predictions For 2016-17

The 2016-17 NBA season is finally here. After a wild playoffs and even crazier free agency period which saw Kevin Durant jump to Golden State, the stage is set for another great year of basketball. So with that I present to you the first edition of “Heat Check” which will serve as the place for NBA talk on Shooting the Moon.

We are about a week into the season but if you follow the NBA you know that the season doesn’t really start until after the All-Star Break. Until then everyone will just be jockeying for position and trying to stay in the playoff hunt until the stretch run…unless of course they are tanking (god bless you if your team is doing that).

Since there isn’t a ton to talk about just yet about what is actually happening in the league, I’ll get into a few bold predictions for this season. Almost universally, the community of national NBA analysts is predicting a rubber match between Golden State and Cleveland in the NBA Finals and Russell Westbrook being the favorite for the MVP. That’s a little boring to me, which is why I think some of these bold predictions will be fun to at least talk about as the season goes on.

Golden State-Cleveland III won’t happen this season

I’m wasting no time with this one here. I think Golden State is an amazing team on paper, but part of me believes they don’t make it out of the Western Conference for a third consecutive year. The Warriors had to sacrifice all of its depth in order to sign Kevin Durant, and come playoff time that is going to show.

Think about this, a #1 seeded Warriors could have to face Oklahoma City, Portland, and San Antonio in its playoff run. That is a potentially brutal road to the NBA Finals. Golden State may have four of the top 20 players in the league, but that alone won’t be able to get them through a stretch like that.

Golden State has also played the most games out of any team in the last two seasons and three of its core players also played in the Olympics this summer as well. By the time May and June come around, the Warriors might run out of gas.

Kawhi Leonard wins the MVP

 Russell Westbrook is going to put up video game numbers this season, but the Thunder might barely make the playoffs as a seven or eight seed. Westbrook would have to average a triple-double in that situation to win the MVP. There is a good chance OKC misses the playoffs though. The last time the Thunder didn’t have Durant, Westbrook put up insane stats put they missed the playoffs.

Kawhi Leonard, to me, looks poised to have the best season of his career with an offensive game that looks drastically improved from a year ago. He is drawing comparisons to Kobe Bryant from players like Demarcus Cousins. Leonard is already one of the best defenders in the NBA, and if he continues to dominate on the offensive end I just don’t see any way you don’t give him the MVP at the end of the year.

In addition to what Leonard could potentially do individually, he could easily be on the team with the NBA’s best record. People forget that Golden State had to go for the wins record last season partly because San Antonio wouldn’t go away, winning 67 games.

The two-time defending Defensive Player of the Year will be adding his first MVP at the end of the year.

The Scoring Title Will Be Won By a Player on a Non-Playoff Team

Historically, the player that wins the scoring title comes from a playoff team. This season presents a situation where the scoring title will come from a player from a non-playoff team.

The odds-on favorite to win the scoring title is Russell Westbrook, and I mentioned before that I’m not very high on OKC this season. I just don’t like the make-up of this team, despite the fact that Westbrook could average 30+ PPG in his sleep. The Thunder is an injury away from being in big trouble this season.

Another potential contender for the scoring title is Westbrook’s former teammate James Harden. Last season Harden was narrowly edged out for the scoring title by Steph Curry, but this season there is a big change in Houston that will literally put the ball in his court.

Houston brought in Mike D’Antoni to run the Rockets this season, and in addition to implementing his fast-paced system, he moved Harden to point guard. That will put the give Harden complete control of this offense, not that he already didn’t get the ball enough though.

The Rockets might score 115 points per game, but they will be giving up about that number as well. Mike D’Antoni teams have never been known to play any kind of defense, and this roster does not have anyone that you would consider a “stopper” either. Houston easily misses the playoffs in my opinion, even with Harden putting up career numbers.

This may be an overreaction, but if healthy, I think Anthony Davis makes a strong push for the scoring title on a bad New Orleans team as well.

“Heat Check” will be back next week, I’ll try to keep things fun until the season heats up but there will be the first power rankings for sure in the next edition. Follow me on Twitter @thereal_jmooney and go like the Shooting the Moon page on Facebook.