Well it’s been another busy week with the end of the summer and football fast approaching. I’m playing a little bit of catch up today so this will be the first of a couple posts today. The other day I looked at the best fantasy offenses. Today I will be looking at the “limited” offenses that you should avoid if you don’t get the main source of production. I’ll finish up with a couple more breakout players you should keep your eye on late in your draft.
When I talk about a “limited” fantasy offense, I’m talking about a one-dimensional offense, or an offense where there are only one or two go-to options. That doesn’t mean these are bad offenses but these are where headaches will come from for a fantasy owner for not having the right guys. So here is the top three offenses that will have limited options this season.
(1) Minnesota Vikings
This is an archaic scheme that is run in Minnesota and a throwback to the old-school style of offense in the NFL. The only player worth any investment for fantasy purposes is Adrian Peterson. That is a bit obvious considering every season Peterson has played more than one game, he has been a top-five option in fantasy. Now there was a glimmer of hope that Stefon Diggs and Laquon Treadwell would be relevant this season. That was right up until quarterback Teddy Bridgewater suffered a horrific non-contact injury that left him with a torn ACL and a dislocated knee.
Truthfully, this makes me a little more wary of Peterson as a top selection in fantasy drafts this season. He should still be a first rounder, but I might be a more inclined to go with Todd Gurley, David Johnson, or even Ezekiel Elliot because I believe all three may have a higher season than Peterson with Bridgewater done for the season.
(2) New England Patriots
You can call me crazy, but unless I’m getting Rob Gronkowski or Tom Brady, I don’t want to get too invested in the Patriots. That’s especially true if you don’t play PPR. This offense is loaded to the teeth with weapons for Brady to throw to outside of Gronk. The issue is this is a gameplan-oriented offense that picks on the weakness of the opposing defenses. In the past that meant having to worry about which running back would get the majority of the work. Now, I believe that touchdowns will come at a premium outside of Gronk (even his numbers could see a small regression in terms of receptions and yards). Even PPR legend Julian Edelman won’t be the slam-dunk fantasy option that he has been in the past. If you want to deal with a weekly headache, this will be the offense that causes it. You may get lucky a few times, but more often than not Bill Belicheck will have different plans in mind than helping you get a win in your fantasy matchup.
(3) Denver Broncos
If you watched the Broncos or owned one of them in fantasy last season, then you already know. Long gone are the days where this offense was setting league records left and right. Peyton Manning is enjoying retirement, and in steps former seventh-round pick Trevor Siemian at quarterback. Unfortunately for Siemian, he could be one reason why this is a “limited” fantasy offense. He is completely unproven and is being thrown in to lead the defending Super Bowl champions. There are some weapons here, which leads me to believe that receivers Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders might be the only players worth owning. And don’t even get me started with C.J. Anderson; his inconsistency spoke volumes about his fantasy value last season.
* Avoiding the secondary, or even tertiary, players in these offense will save you a lot of trouble this fantasy season. It also furthers the point I tried to make earlier this week that just because a team is successful doesn’t mean that makes it a great fantasy offense.
Okay, so let’s quickly jump into some late-round sleepers to target late in your fantasy drafts. I’m going to try to keep this short and sweet so bear with me if I don’t give you the full book on these guys.
Derrick Henry, RB Tennessee Titans
The former Heisman trophy winner has looked great in the preseason, and with that his ADP is rising (I had to get him in the 10th round in my PPR keeper draft). He is clearly the backup right now behind former rushing champion DeMarco Murray, but you can’t deny what Henry has shown so far. The Titans improved the offensive line, and want to feature both of these running backs. Henry is the guy that will provide the best rate of return between both running backs.
Tyler Boyd, WR Cincinnati Bengals
AJ Green is still the top dog in this offense, but with the loss of Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu to free agency, someone needs replace that production. Boyd looks poised to be that guy. The rookie from Pittsburgh should start in the slot and will see plenty of targets from Andy Dalton, especially with Tyler Eifert out at least the first month of the season. Unless you are in a cutthroat league, you may be able to rob Boyd late in your draft and laugh it up once he breaks out. This is a PPR stud in the making.
Jesse James, TE Pittsburgh Steelers
Big Ben’s long-time tight end Heath Miller retired in the offseason leaving a void at the position. Pittsburgh thought it had the solution when Ladarius Green signed a four-year deal in free agency. Now it looks like Green may never even see the field due to complications from concussions. Jesse James is plan-B at tight end, which may not be the worst thing in the world. James measures in at 6’7” and could be an amazing red zone target for the Steelers. Big Ben loved throwing to Miller in tough situations, and James could carve out a similar role with the opportunity the injuries to Green may afford him.
Stay tuned to Shooting the Moon for a late edition of the Weekend Viewer Guide. Send me your thoughts in the comments section or through social media. Follow me on Twitter @thereal_jmooney and go like the Shooting the Moon page on Facebook..